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FP&A Trends: Caution: Forecast Accuracy is Seasonal Too!
December 16, 2021
“The benefits of measuring seasonality of accuracy are that users can plan high/low scenarios for each prediction based on the season-specific range of possibilities. Departments can adjust how much capacity, safety stock, or cash reserves are needed based on their own worst case. And it’s easier to determine missing factors for model improvement when you focus on adding predictors to the high noise areas of the model.”